Experts expect that the total grain harvest in Russia in 2025 will be about 135 million tons.
The international organization FAO predicts that grain production will increase in almost all major producing countries this season. This may mean that competition between producers will also increase.
In turn, this may put pressure on prices, which will cause them to decrease. This situation will ultimately be unfavorable for all exporting countries, including Russia.
A similar situation, according to FAO, should be expected in terms of peas. The growth in global production will help to ensure that the price remains quite low. In this regard, it may even decrease compared to the values at which it is now.
In addition to grain, the world is also expecting an increase in the production of oilseeds. For example, the global sunflower harvest in the season that has begun may reach 25 million tons, which is 18% more than last year.
The global soybean harvest is planned at 427 million tons, rapeseed — about 90 million.
As for Russia specifically, there is every reason to expect an increase in the grain harvest this season. Moreover, this applies to both grain and leguminous crops, experts note.
In total, the Russian Ministry of Agriculture expects that about 135 million tons of grain will be harvested in the country this season, including 90 million tons of wheat. These figures were announced by the Minister of Agriculture of the Russian Federation Oksana Lut.
At the same time, the harvest has almost begun, but we have to deal with difficult weather conditions. For example, it is currently raining in the Center and the Volga region, while in the Rostov region, on the contrary, the drought has intensified.
In Russia, oilseed production this year is expected to be about 30 million tons. This will also be a very high harvest, which can bring down prices for vegetable oils. They are already getting noticeably cheaper, analysts note.
Generally speaking, Russia is now fully self-sufficient in most oilseeds and grain crops, and also has extensive export opportunities.
However, low prices, both domestic and global, mean that profitability for most types of agricultural crops currently remains quite low.
Nevertheless, exports are growing. For example, grain shipments to Africa from the ports of St. Petersburg have doubled compared to last year, to Asia – tripled, to America – by 87%, to the Middle East – by 34%. But deliveries to Europe against this background have decreased by 76%.
